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🩸BEARISH

US PPI Surges to 6%, Blowing Past Expectations — Rate Cut Hopes Take a Hit!

US Producer Price Index inflation jumped to 6% in the latest reading, coming in hotter than economists had forecast and…

US Producer Price Index inflation jumped to 6% in the latest reading, coming in hotter than economists had forecast and reigniting concerns that the Federal Reserve's path to rate cuts is narrower than markets had priced in. PPI measures wholesale-level price pressures and is widely watched as a leading indicator for consumer inflation — a sustained overshoot at the producer level tends to flow through to CPI in subsequent months.

The miss lands at a sensitive moment. Markets had been cautiously rebuilding expectations for Fed easing later in 2025, but a 6% PPI print gives the FOMC cover — and arguably pressure — to hold rates higher for longer. Risk assets, and crypto in particular, have been trading on rate-cut optionality; a hawkish macro reset is a headwind across the board.

Watch for Fed speakers in the coming days to recalibrate their forward guidance. Any language walking back…

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