Prediction Markets Put Base at $2B FDV for Largest Tokenless Launch

Prediction markets have assigned Base the highest probable fully diluted valuation among all major tokenless projects, with a $2 billion FDV carrying a 74% outcome probability. That makes Coinbase's L2 the standout candidate in a crowded field of anticipated token generation events.

The next tier clusters around the $100M–$250M range. Ink is priced at $250M with an 85.5% probability — the highest conviction call on the list — while Abstract and StandX both sit at $200M. Further down, Variational leads the $100M cohort with a striking 97% probability, suggesting the market sees that outcome as near-certain even if the absolute valuation is modest.

Source: [source](http://telegraph.controller.bot/files/8336652911/AgACAgIAAxkBAAI0RmoQVybjj9xZd4kWRLq_9Cgzxn4HAALyG2sboq-JSLlOUylLPecTAQADAgADeQADOwQ)